The higher the premium, the more investors are paying for protection, and the more they are worried about a selloff. Cracks are starting to show up in the stock market… again. I’m not rolling either of these trades out because macro-conditions have changed in recent weeks. As always, stay tuned. See trade details below. However, I am sending out a new MGM trade for OFT Pro. Have a great weekend! Otherwise, we can let it expire worthless. Today, I'll highlight three chip stocks that operate in very different parts of the semiconductor market, why they're all growing, and why they could still generate even bigger returns next year. I’ve been having intermittent internet issues (including a 3+ hour outage today…yay! In the meantime, I recommend staying away from wholesale buying – at least until the VIX term structure is out of backwardation. Let’s take a quick look at just how low volatility has gotten lately. https://yn345.infusionsoft.app/app/orderForms/OFT-Finding-An-Edge-In-Options-Trading-Using-Calendar-Effects?a=3944&utm_campaign=oftwbrpa&utm_source=oiticker&utm_medium=sponsor&t=oftwebsprcamowbpdoitkr090121. Specifically, we are buying the July 16th 12 puts for around 90 cents. It was down something like 30% in ONE DAY due to the results of an election (where the business-friendly candidate performed far worse than expected). You can see the order details below. The timeline of LinkedIn’s stock price in 2016 / Source Think of it as an early holiday gift. For the TLT trade today, you can just let it expire. Enjoy my chart comedy! That’s not much of a surprise given all the action in the market. We’ll want to see this curve flatten out (and eventually move back into contango) as a sign that risk is coming down. It doesn’t matter if you are an individual or hedge fund, you have to use proper risk management to survive as a trader. Today was a pretty unremarkable day. Basically, if it’s an up day tomorrow we should be able to close for a profit. We’re making the 60-61.50-63 call butterfly that expires on September 17th. The text alert system would not let me attach images, which didn’t help. So we got the idea for the key performance indicator Stock Take Spreadsheet Templates in Excel. I’m going to move away from using most butterflies while the market remain this volatile. Great company. In total, rolling the spread should cost about 75-80 cents, but you may need to adjust your limit order if it doesn’t get filled after the first 30 minutes or so. I expect the gap to shrink over time, but it may take months. In other words, we didn’t do much today, but the volatility market is betting that we’ll still have plenty more volatility to come. Big dataâs power does not erase the need for vision or human insight. Volatility is staying firm for the most part though. What a crazy turnaround! Our ADM call spread expires today (no action necessary), but I’m still bullish on the stock. Not a lot of action in the markets on a holiday week, but let’s add a trade to our Insiders portfolio since we don’t currently have anything on. Tomorrow I plan to add a new Insiders-only trade, so keep an eye out for that in the text alerts. (We are rolling/closing the 26 strike, not the 26.5, so the total debit should be closer to 85 cents instead of 90.). I found that company in APA (APA). We’ll use iShares Silver Shares (SLV) as it’s the easiest way to trade silver and the stock is only trading for $ 16.64 which makes the at-the-money straddle very affordable. We’re going to buy a tanker company in OFT because we want to own oil storage, not oil itself. The new issue of OFT Pro comes out tomorrow, so here’s the new trade in Virtu Financial (VIRT). I don’t want any you getting sick on my watch. Another crazy week! I’m going to include the current screenshot of the closing trade, but just be aware the price is moving a lot. At this point, it looks like buying a TSLA straddle would have been a big mistake (considering it cost about $ 200 per straddle). Generally days like this are really low volume and not much meaningful action takes place. The trade details are below, so if you’ve never closed a butterfly, make sure your trade looks like the one below. They are conforming to rules that have to do with settlement and clearing of stocks that were set forth mostly in Dodd-Frank after the 2009 crisis. The PASSUR and Sears Holding examples illustrate the power of big data, which allows more-accurate predictions, better decisions, and precise interventions, and can enable these things at seemingly limitless scale. Companies wonât reap the full benefits of a transition to using big data unless theyâre able to manage change effectively. You can see in the chart below, VIX actually dropped today across the curve from open to close. We may not establish a new low, but we’re certainly not going straight back up from here. Database System Concepts [7] 0078022150, 9780078022159, 1260515044, 9781260515046. The stock was way up today, so if it keeps going up, you can buy up to $ 2.00 per contract. The most we can lose on the trade is what we are spending in premium (around $ 80). Linux (/ ˈ l i n ʊ k s / LEEN-uuks or / ˈ l ɪ n ʊ k s / LIN-uuks) is a family of open-source Unix-like operating systems based on the Linux kernel, an operating system kernel first released on September 17, 1991, by Linus Torvalds. Stay tuned! Looking at the VIX term-structure below, you can see the curve is still plenty elevated (compared to just about any other historical period) and the futures are still in steep backwardation. To save time, I’m just going to post the two orders below. We’ll see what the weekend brings, although I imagine it will be good for traders to step away from these crazy markets for a couple days. We can make about $ 845 at max gain, but more reasonably, we’re looking to double or triple our initial premium. Presented without (much) comment. You should be able to get a credit around $ 3.20 to close and max gain is $ 3.70. The stock is up 64% after hours to almost $ 8 and I’m having trouble not beating my skull against the desk. HYG has two potential headwinds – money flowing from high yield to safer assets if the economy is in trouble and/or the bond bubble deflating in general. You can download a sample issue of this newsletter on our website. The details are found below. While the S&P 500 remains subdued, we’re starting to see some volatility action in other asset classes. The topic is trading covered calls for edge. We’re going a little more conservative with this week’s OFT trade, buying May 14th calls in Cloudera (CLDR). Meanwhile, the VIX is well over 30 and the term structure is in backwardation (front month more expensive than following months) as you can see below. Is today a sign that the bottom is in? I’ll have a new weekly video out later today, but first here are a couple pics from my adventure in Northern Arizona this past weekend. The successful companies of the next decade will be the ones whose leaders can do all that while changing the way their organizations make many decisions. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-bX4DTuNBhw. More importantly, anything between 29.95 and 28.05 is profitable for us at expiration. Since SailPoint Technologies Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:SAIL) has faced declining sentiment from the aggregate hedge fund industry, we can see that there exists a select few hedge funds that elected to cut their full holdings by the end of the second quarter. We currently have a bullish trade on in AKAM, so let’s pair it with a bearish trade. I talk about our positions and a bit about the market in the weekly recap video. Sorry for the confusion. It will be really interesting to see how the futures market changes after we see what the Fed says on Wednesday. Okay, I’m obviously being sarcastic, but the earnings from the Big 4 companies reporting tonight were all fantastic. The steeper the relationship, the more pressure there will be on VXX. AMKR is a solid winner and DAN is either a winner or a small loser (depending on if you made both trades or just the second one). Your broker may label this a call spread or a vertical spread. Part of the reason is that I want to have a short (put) VXX position on for after the election, and I’d like to have this VXZ/VIXM position as a hedge. It’s the biggest issue yet, which two brand new trades I’m excited about. Let’s see what happens to stocks for the remainder of the week. Not everyone was embracing data-driven decision making. https://content.jwplatform.com/videos/ZWDMQm2x-bK67iJnL.mp4.
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